NBA (National Basketball Association) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Oklahoma City Thunder — New Orleans Pelicans
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Oklahoma City Thunder are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 117:111 — 228 points in total.
Over 227.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Oklahoma City Thunder without Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace: that costs the team about 9.7 points a game.
- Pace: Oklahoma City Thunder 99.8, New Orleans Pelicans 104.2 possessions per 48 minutes.
Facts
- League table: Oklahoma City Thunder — No. 7, 5–2; New Orleans Pelicans — No. 19, 3–4.
- New Orleans Pelicans: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Oklahoma City Thunder 5 wins, New Orleans Pelicans 0.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Oklahoma City Thunder — New Orleans Pelicans | 117.0–110.8 | |
| Total over 227.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 227.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Oklahoma City Thunder points
- New Orleans Pelicans points
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Form
- 03.11away · Cleveland Cavaliers117:112
- 01.11away · Houston Rockets98:119
- 29.10away · Dallas Mavericks96:120
- 27.10Phoenix Suns125:114
- 26.10Los Angeles Clippers108:101
- 03.11away · Memphis Grizzlies135:134
- 01.11Atlanta Hawks121:99
- 30.10Sacramento Kings132:120
- 29.10Denver Nuggets91:104
- 25.10away · Denver Nuggets135:141
Head to head
- 28.01.2026Oklahoma City Thunder — New Orleans Pelicans104:95
- 18.11.2025New Orleans Pelicans — Oklahoma City Thunder109:126
- 02.11.2025Oklahoma City Thunder — New Orleans Pelicans137:106
- 13.04.2025New Orleans Pelicans — Oklahoma City Thunder100:115
- 11.02.2025Oklahoma City Thunder — New Orleans Pelicans137:101
Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Los Angeles Lakers | 6 | 2 | .750 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Oklahoma City Thunder | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | San Antonio Spurs | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
| 10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Denver Nuggets | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 11 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 4 | .429 | 3.5 |
| 12 | Phoenix Suns | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4.5 |
NBA on the same day
- Atlanta HawksCharlotte Hornetspreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —219.1
- Brooklyn NetsOrlando Magicpreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —221.1
- Cleveland CavaliersIndiana Pacerspreliminary79211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —230.4
- Detroit PistonsToronto Raptorspreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —221.5
- Chicago BullsWashington Wizardspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —236.3
- Utah JazzPhoenix Sunspreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —230.0
- Denver NuggetsHouston Rocketspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.0
- Los Angeles LakersSacramento Kingspreliminary84161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —237.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →