EuroLeague (basketball) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Baskonia — Real Madrid
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Real Madrid are clear favourites: 66% against 34% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 89:94 — 183 points in total.
Over 181.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Baskonia −6.4, Real Madrid +1.9 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Baskonia — Real Madrid | 88.9–93.7 | |
| Total over 181.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 181.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Baskonia points
- Real Madrid points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 11.10Joventut Badalona93:73
- 09.10Besiktas84:92
- 04.10Basquet Girona118:78
- 02.10Olimpia Milano86:76
- 29.09away · Valencia88:111
- 11.10Manresa120:83
- 08.10Partizan Mozzart Bet86:76
- 04.10away · Obradoiro CAB114:107
- 01.10away · Hapoel Tel Aviv98:102
- 29.09away · Anadolu Efes84:94
Head to head
- 27.05.2026Real Madrid — Baskonia83:88
- 03.04.2026Baskonia — Real Madrid98:96
- 11.12.2025Real Madrid — Baskonia94:87
- 12.10.2025Baskonia — Real Madrid105:100
- 06.06.2025Baskonia — Real Madrid103:112
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3 |
| 16 | Baskonia | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3 |
| 17 | Paris | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3 |
| 18 | Bayern | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3 |
| 19 | Real Madrid | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3 |
| 20 | Olimpia Milano | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- DubaiParispreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —177.4
- BayernBarcelonapreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —171.7
- Crvena Zvezda MeridianbetMaccabi Tel Avivpreliminary79211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —173.9
- PanathinaikosOlimpia Milanopreliminary89111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —170.5
- ValenciaFenerbahcepreliminary70301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —171.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →