EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 22 October, 21:00 MSK

Bayern — Dubai

Model prediction for 22 October

Bayern56%

Dubai44%

Model estimate at 18:01 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Bayern are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.

The model expects a score around 86:84 — 170 points in total.

Over 169.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

Team strength against the league average: Bayern −5.1, Dubai −3.4 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Bayern — Dubai		85.9–84.1
Total over 169.5 (incl. OT)		49%
Total under 169.5 (incl. OT)		51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All handicaps
All totals
Bayern points
Dubai points
Regulation 1X2
Offence and defence strength

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Form

Bayern

08.10Virtus Bologna87:94
02.10Partizan Mozzart Bet84:86
29.09away · Fenerbahce76:100
24.09away · Hapoel Tel Aviv86:84
17.04away · Barcelona69:95

Dubai

08.10Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet58:77
02.10away · Fenerbahce66:76
29.09Barcelona94:87
24.09Real Madrid78:77
17.04Valencia85:95

Head to head

19.03.2026Bayern — Dubai74:87
12.12.2025Dubai — Bayern89:88

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	L	PCT	GB
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Virtus Bologna	4	2	2	.500	2
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Dubai	4	2	2	.500	2
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Lyon-Villeurbanne	4	2	2	.500	2
17	Paris	4	1	3	.250	3
18	Bayern	4	1	3	.250	3
19	Real Madrid	4	1	3	.250	3

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

20:30
Anadolu EfesBesiktaspreliminary
6238
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —170.7
21:05
Maccabi Tel AvivReal Madridpreliminary
3664
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —182.3
21:15
PanathinaikosBaskoniapreliminary
9010
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —177.8
21:30
Olimpia MilanoBarcelonapreliminary
4357
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —172.3
21:45
Partizan Mozzart BetCrvena Zvezda Meridianbetpreliminary
5644
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —162.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →