NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Cruzeiro — Brasilia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Brasilia are clear favourites: 73% against 27% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 76:84 — 160 points in total.
Over 159.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Cruzeiro −4.8, Brasilia +5.9 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Cruzeiro — Brasilia | 76.0–83.7 | |
| Total over 159.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 159.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Cruzeiro points
- Brasilia points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 30.04away · Minas93:103
- 26.04Minas74:101
- 25.04Minas97:81
- 22.04away · Minas94:99
- 17.04Cearense86:77
- 29.05away · Franca66:68
- 27.05away · Franca71:69
- 24.05Franca74:91
- 22.05Franca67:50
- 19.05away · Franca67:76
Head to head
- 20.02.2026Cruzeiro — Brasilia87:93
- 15.11.2025Brasilia — Cruzeiro79:65
NBB on the same day
- MinasPatopreliminary88121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —162.8
- PinheirosUniao Corinthianspreliminary86141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →