NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Pinheiros — Uniao Corinthians

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Model prediction for 28 October

Pinheiros86%
Uniao Corinthians14%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Pinheiros are clear favourites: 86% against 14% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 87:74 — 161 point in total.

Over 160.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Pinheiros +7.6, Uniao Corinthians −2.9 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Pinheiros — Uniao Corinthians87.2–73.8
Total over 160.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 160.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Pinheiros points
  • Uniao Corinthians points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Pinheiros

  • 07.06away · Franca76:85
  • 04.06Franca94:92
  • 03.06Franca75:78
  • 31.05away · Franca73:82
  • 27.05Corinthians Paulista88:76

Uniao Corinthians

  • 01.05away · Flamengo77:104
  • 28.04Flamengo77:90
  • 26.04Flamengo84:83
  • 23.04away · Flamengo72:102
  • 18.04Sao Jose97:88

Head to head

  • 14.02.2026Uniao Corinthians — Pinheiros77:70
  • 12.11.2025Pinheiros — Uniao Corinthians102:84
  • 17.04.2025Pinheiros — Uniao Corinthians86:55
  • 24.12.2024Uniao Corinthians — Pinheiros80:73
  • 05.04.2024Pinheiros — Uniao Corinthians83:59

Full record: 10 meetings →

NBB on the same day

  • MinasPatopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —162.8
  • CruzeiroBrasiliapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —159.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 86% will not happen in roughly 14 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →