VTB United League (basketball) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Krylatskoe Sport Palace
CSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv Kuban
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87:84Came true
In short
Final score 87:84: the model's most likely outcome, CSKA Moscow to win (80% incl. overtime), came true.
CSKA Moscow are clear favourites: 80% against 20% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 93:82 — 175 points in total.
Over 174.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: CSKA Moscow +17.9, Lokomotiv Kuban +8.8 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): CSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv Kuban | 93.0–82.2 | |
| Total over 174.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 174.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- CSKA Moscow points
- Lokomotiv Kuban points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 07.10Uralmash Ekaterinburg90:85
- 27.09away · MBA Moscow82:65
- 10.06away · Unics Kazan102:76
- 08.06away · Unics Kazan86:74
- 04.06Unics Kazan102:89
- 03.10MBA Moscow92:87
- 27.09Enisey81:66
- 12.06away · Zenit Petersburg84:76
- 09.06Zenit Petersburg91:85
- 07.06Zenit Petersburg85:81
Head to head
- 23.05.2026CSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv Kuban103:92
- 20.05.2026Lokomotiv Kuban — CSKA Moscow75:85
- 18.05.2026Lokomotiv Kuban — CSKA Moscow81:100
- 14.05.2026CSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv Kuban84:71
- 12.05.2026CSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv Kuban88:97 OT
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Unics Kazan | 3 | 1 | .750 | 0.5 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Zenit Petersburg | 3 | 1 | .750 | 0.5 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Lokomotiv Kuban | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Parma Perm | 2 | 2 | .500 | 1.5 |
Next matches
- Dynamo VladivostokCSKA Moscow14 October · VTB United League3972The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —175.3
- Lokomotiv KubanSaratov14 October · VTB United League9281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —162.3
VTB United League on the same day
- 9551The most likely outcome came true: 191:71Final score 91:71. Model's score: —.157.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 80% will not happen in roughly 20 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →