EuroLeague (basketball) · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Paris — Valencia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Valencia are clear favourites: 67% against 33% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 91:96 — 187 points in total.
Over 186.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Paris −4.4, Valencia +4.2 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Paris — Valencia | 91.0–96.2 | |
| Total over 186.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 186.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Paris points
- Valencia points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 07.10Lyon-Villeurbanne96:98
- 01.10Zalgiris Kaunas82:78
- 29.09Partizan Mozzart Bet79:92
- 24.09away · Panathinaikos72:91
- 17.04away · Zalgiris Kaunas79:85
- 11.10away · Barcelona86:89
- 08.10Hapoel Tel Aviv93:82
- 04.10away · Basket Zaragoza97:82
- 02.10away · Lyon-Villeurbanne105:92
- 29.09Baskonia111:88
Head to head
- 20.01.2026Valencia — Paris98:84
- 13.11.2025Paris — Valencia90:86
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Panathinaikos | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Valencia | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Fenerbahce | 4 | 1 | .800 | 0.5 |
| 16 | Baskonia | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3 |
| 17 | Paris | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3 |
| 18 | Bayern | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- Zalgiris KaunasLyon-Villeurbannepreliminary83171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —170.4
- OlympiacosFenerbahcepreliminary75251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —169.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →