NBA (National Basketball Association): power rankings

Season 2026/27 · updated 13 October 2026

The strongest team by the model is Oklahoma City Thunder: +7.1 points per game against an average team on a neutral floor. The regular season starts on 20 October; until then this is a pre-season ranking: last season’s strength, of which every team keeps 70% — rosters change between seasons.

  • Best offenceMiami Heat3.9 points per game above an average team
  • Best defenceNew York Knicks6.1 fewer points allowed per game than an average team

Ranking

Rating — points margin per game against an average team on a neutral floor: offence (points scored above an average team) plus defence (points allowed below it).

#TeamRatingOff.Def.Proj.Next
1Oklahoma City Thunder+7.1+2.5+4.657–2321 October · at San Antonio Spurs (2)
2San Antonio Spurs+6.9+2.6+4.256–2421 October · Oklahoma City Thunder (1)
3New York Knicks+6.7+0.6+6.156–2421 October · Philadelphia 76ers (19)
4Boston Celtics+4.8−0.9+5.852–2820 October · at Detroit Pistons (5)
5Detroit Pistons+4.60.0+4.551–2920 October · Boston Celtics (4)
6Charlotte Hornets+3.2+0.1+3.148–3222 October · at Brooklyn Nets (29)
7Denver Nuggets+2.9+3.9−1.047–3323 October · at Oklahoma City Thunder (1)
8Houston Rockets+2.6−1.4+4.047–3322 October · Dallas Mavericks (23)
9Cleveland Cavaliers+2.4+1.7+0.746–3423 October · at Philadelphia 76ers (19)
10Toronto Raptors+2.0−0.3+2.445–3522 October · Chicago Bulls (22)
11Minnesota Timberwolves+1.6+0.5+1.143–3722 October · at Miami Heat (15)
12Los Angeles Lakers+1.4−0.3+1.743–3722 October · Golden State Warriors (20)
13Atlanta Hawks+1.3+1.9−0.742–3822 October · at Orlando Magic (17)
14Los Angeles Clippers+1.2−0.4+1.643–3722 October · Sacramento Kings (28)
15Miami Heat+1.1+3.9−2.942–3822 October · Minnesota Timberwolves (11)
16Phoenix Suns+0.7−1.6+2.442–3822 October · at Portland Trail Blazers (18)
17Orlando Magic+0.6−1.0+1.642–3822 October · Atlanta Hawks (13)
18Portland Trail Blazers+0.1−0.8+0.940–4022 October · Phoenix Suns (16)
19Philadelphia 76ers−0.6−0.3−0.339–4121 October · at New York Knicks (3)
20Golden State Warriors−0.9−0.5−0.438–4222 October · at Los Angeles Lakers (12)
21New Orleans Pelicans−2.5+0.7−3.234–4622 October · Indiana Pacers (24)
22Chicago Bulls−3.6+1.1−4.731–4922 October · at Toronto Raptors (10)
23Dallas Mavericks−3.70.0−3.732–4822 October · at Houston Rockets (8)
24Indiana Pacers−4.0−0.4−3.631–4922 October · at New Orleans Pelicans (21)
25Milwaukee Bucks−4.5−3.0−1.529–5122 October · at Washington Wizards (30)
26Memphis Grizzlies−4.8−0.1−4.728–5222 October · Utah Jazz (27)
27Utah Jazz−5.7+1.4−7.127–5322 October · at Memphis Grizzlies (26)
28Sacramento Kings−5.9−2.1−3.725–5522 October · at Los Angeles Clippers (14)
29Brooklyn Nets−7.1−6.5−0.623–5722 October · Charlotte Hornets (6)
30Washington Wizards−7.8−1.2−6.622–5822 October · Milwaukee Bucks (25)

How it is calculated

The rating is the same team strength the season forecast runs on: the average points margin against an average team of the league on a neutral floor. It comes from game margins (overtime included), adjusted for the opponents and for home court (currently about 1.8 points). Last season is the starting point, but a team keeps only 70% of that level: rosters change between seasons. Until the season’s first game that is the whole rating — a pre-season one. After that this season’s games decide, the latest counting most: injuries and trades change a team during the season too.

Offence and defence are worked out the same way from points scored and allowed: how many points per game a team scores above an average team and how many fewer it allows. Together they add up to the rating. They are per game, not per possession: a fast team scores more and allows more.

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