UEFA Europa League, round 3 · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Celtic — Celta Vigo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Celtic are clear favourites: 63% against 16% for the opponent, draw 21%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Celtic are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Celtic — Celta Vigo What is xG? | 2.1–0.9 | |
| Celtic not to lose | 84% | |
| Celta Vigo not to lose | 37% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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- Celta Vigo goals
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Form
- 11.10away · Motherwell2:0
- 20.09Rangers0:1
- 17.09Ferencváros1:3
- 09.09away · St. Johnstone1:0
- 05.09away · St. Mirren2:1
- 11.10away · Elche0:0
- 19.09Racing Santander5:0
- 16.09away · Omonia Nicosia0:1
- 13.09Málaga1:1
- 07.09away · Getafe1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 | Celtic | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | Milan | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 |
Europa League on the same day
- JuventusRennespreliminary6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- FerencvárosTorreensepreliminary5923181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- Union St.GilloiseHapoel Beer Shevapreliminary801471The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.5
- Dinamo ZagrebNEC Nijmegenpreliminary4826271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Sturm GrazMarseillepreliminary3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Lech PoznańSunderlandpreliminary5923181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- OFI CreteBayer Leverkusenpreliminary1420662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- Ararat ArmeniaAZ Alkmaarpreliminary2425522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →