UEFA Conference League, round 2 · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
FC Midtjylland — St.Truiden
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FC Midtjylland are clear favourites: 61% against 17% for the opponent, draw 22%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Midtjylland are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Midtjylland — St.Truiden What is xG? | 2.0–1.0 | |
| FC Midtjylland not to lose | 83% | |
| St.Truiden not to lose | 39% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Midtjylland
- FC Midtjylland goals
- St.Truiden goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10FC København2:1
- 19.09away · OB1:1
- 14.09Brøndby IF4:1
- 07.09Nordsjælland2:2
- 02.09away · AGF2:0
- 11.10away · KV Mechelen3:4
- 20.09Westerlo0:2
- 12.09away · SK Beveren0:2
- 05.09RAAL La Louvière4:0
- 02.09Union St.Gilloise0:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Conference League on the same day
- Kairat AlmatyPanathinaikospreliminary4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- FK Crvena ZvezdaFC Københavnpreliminary3527382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Pafos FCRiga FCpreliminary5324221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- GetafeLuganopreliminary3727372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- TrabzonsporHeart of Midlothianpreliminary5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- JablonecBrighton & Hove Albionpreliminary917742The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.3
- NordsjællandCSKA Sofiapreliminary6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- Inter Club d'EscaldesUniversitatea Craiovapreliminary4426301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →