UEFA Conference League, round 2 · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Getafe — Lugano
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Getafe are clear favourites: 47% against 27% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Lugano: 3 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Getafe — Lugano What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| Getafe not to lose | 73% | |
| Lugano not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Getafe
- Getafe goals
- Lugano goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 10.10away · Barcelona0:3
- 20.09Málaga1:0
- 17.09away · Real Betis0:1
- 13.09Deportivo A Coruña1:1
- 07.09Celta Vigo1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Conference League on the same day
- Kairat AlmatyPanathinaikospreliminary3026442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- FK Crvena ZvezdaFC Københavnpreliminary4226311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Pafos FCRiga FCpreliminary5324221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- TrabzonsporHeart of Midlothianpreliminary6819131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- JablonecBrighton & Hove Albionpreliminary917742The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.3
- NordsjællandCSKA Sofiapreliminary6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- Inter Club d'EscaldesUniversitatea Craiovapreliminary4426301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- FK Kauno ŽalgirisBrannpreliminary3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →