UEFA Conference League, round 2 · Thursday, 22 October, MSK

Kairat Almaty — Panathinaikos

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 22 October

Kairat Almaty49%
Draw25%
Panathinaikos26%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Kairat Almaty are clear favourites: 49% against 26% for the opponent, draw 25%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.

Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Kairat Almaty are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kairat Almaty — Panathinaikos What is xG?1.7–1.1
Kairat Almaty not to lose74%
Panathinaikos not to lose51%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.554%
Total under 2.546%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Kairat Almaty
  • Kairat Almaty goals
  • Panathinaikos goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Kairat Almaty

  • 10.10Zhetysu Taldykorgan1:0
  • 17.09away · FC Astana0:1
  • 13.09Tobol Kostanay1:4
  • 09.09Zhenis3:0
  • 05.09away · Kaspiy Aktau3:0

Panathinaikos

  • 11.10away · Olympiacos0:1
  • 20.09away · Kalamata1:0
  • 13.09Panetolikos3:0
  • 10.09Kifisia FC3:1
  • 06.09PAOK Thessaloniki3:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Conference League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →