UEFA Conference League, round 2 · Thursday, 22 October, MSK

Inter Club d'Escaldes — Universitatea Craiova

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Model prediction for 22 October

Inter Club d'Escaldes44%
Draw26%
Universitatea Craiova30%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Inter Club d'Escaldes are slightly stronger: 44% against 30%, draw 26%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 57%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Inter Club d'Escaldes — Universitatea Craiova What is xG?1.6–1.2
Inter Club d'Escaldes not to lose70%
Universitatea Craiova not to lose56%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes57%
Both teams to score: no43%
Total over 2.553%
Total under 2.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Inter Club d'Escaldes
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Form

Inter Club d'Escaldes

No past matches in the data yet.

Universitatea Craiova

  • 18.12away · AEK Athens2:3
  • 11.12Sparta Prague1:2
  • 27.11Mainz 051:0
  • 06.11away · Rapid Wien1:0
  • 23.10FC Noah1:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Conference League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →