UEFA Conference League, round 2 · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Jablonec — Brighton & Hove Albion
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Brighton & Hove Albion are clear favourites: 74% against 9% for the opponent, draw 17%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Brighton & Hove Albion are about 1.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Jablonec — Brighton & Hove Albion What is xG? | 0.8–2.5 | |
| Jablonec not to lose | 26% | |
| Brighton & Hove Albion not to lose | 91% | |
| No draw | 83% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Jablonec
- Jablonec goals
- Brighton & Hove Albion goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 09.12away · CFR Cluj0:2
- 25.11AZ Alkmaar1:1
- 04.11away · Randers FC2:2
- 21.10Randers FC2:2
- 30.09away · AZ Alkmaar0:1
- 10.10away · Sunderland2:0
- 19.09Arsenal3:0
- 16.09away · Manchester United3:2
- 13.09away · Coventry City5:0
- 05.09Leeds United1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Conference League on the same day
- Kairat AlmatyPanathinaikospreliminary4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- FK Crvena ZvezdaFC Københavnpreliminary3527382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Pafos FCRiga FCpreliminary5324221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- GetafeLuganopreliminary3727371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- TrabzonsporHeart of Midlothianpreliminary5624201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- NordsjællandCSKA Sofiapreliminary6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- Inter Club d'EscaldesUniversitatea Craiovapreliminary4426301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- FK Kauno ŽalgirisBrannpreliminary3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →