UEFA Conference League, round 2 · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
FK Crvena Zvezda — FC København
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FK Crvena Zvezda are slightly stronger: 42% against 31%, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC København are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FK Crvena Zvezda — FC København What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| FK Crvena Zvezda not to lose | 69% | |
| FC København not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FK Crvena Zvezda
- FK Crvena Zvezda goals
- FC København goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 26.02Lille0:2
- 19.02away · Lille1:0
- 29.01Celta Vigo1:1
- 22.01away · Malmö FF1:0
- 11.12away · Sturm Graz1:0
- 11.10away · FC Midtjylland1:2
- 20.09away · Brøndby IF1:0
- 11.09AC Horsens2:0
- 06.09away · OB5:0
- 03.09Nordsjælland2:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Conference League on the same day
- Kairat AlmatyPanathinaikospreliminary3026442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Pafos FCRiga FCpreliminary5324221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- GetafeLuganopreliminary4725271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- TrabzonsporHeart of Midlothianpreliminary6819131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- JablonecBrighton & Hove Albionpreliminary917742The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.3
- NordsjællandCSKA Sofiapreliminary6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- Inter Club d'EscaldesUniversitatea Craiovapreliminary4426301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- FK Kauno ŽalgirisBrannpreliminary3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →