UEFA Conference League, round 2 · Thursday, 22 October, MSK

Trabzonspor — Heart of Midlothian

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Model prediction for 22 October

Trabzonspor57%
Draw23%
Heart of Midlothian20%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Trabzonspor are clear favourites: 57% against 20% for the opponent, draw 23%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.

Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Trabzonspor are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Trabzonspor — Heart of Midlothian What is xG?1.9–1.0
Trabzonspor not to lose80%
Heart of Midlothian not to lose43%
No draw77%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.555%
Total under 2.545%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Trabzonspor
  • Trabzonspor goals
  • Heart of Midlothian goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Trabzonspor

  • 10.10away · Samsunspor3:0
  • 19.09Galatasaray4:0
  • 12.09away · Konyaspor0:1
  • 06.09Gençlerbirliği5:0
  • 31.08away · Amed Sportif1:2

Heart of Midlothian

  • 10.10St. Mirren5:0
  • 19.09away · Kilmarnock1:1
  • 15.09away · Falkirk1:2
  • 06.09Dundee FC2:1
  • 03.09away · Hibernian3:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Conference League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →