UEFA Conference League, round 2 · Thursday, 22 October, MSK

Iberia 1999 — Mjällby

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Model prediction for 22 October

Iberia 199941%
Draw26%
Mjällby33%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Iberia 1999 are slightly stronger: 41% against 33%, draw 26%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 57%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Iberia 1999 — Mjällby What is xG?1.5–1.3
Iberia 1999 not to lose67%
Mjällby not to lose59%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes57%
Both teams to score: no43%
Total over 2.553%
Total under 2.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Iberia 1999
  • Iberia 1999 goals
  • Mjällby goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Iberia 1999

No past matches in the data yet.

Mjällby

  • 10.10Degerfors1:1
  • 20.09GAIS0:3
  • 16.09away · AIK1:1
  • 11.09away · Häcken1:1
  • 07.09IFK Göteborg1:4

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Conference League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →