Major League Soccer (MLS), round 29 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · America First Field
Real Salt Lake — San Jose Earthquakes
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Real Salt Lake are slightly stronger: 47% against 27%, draw 26%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 68%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Real Salt Lake — No. 22, 32 pts; San Jose Earthquakes — No. 7, 46 pts. A gap of 14 pts.
- San Jose Earthquakes: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Real Salt Lake 2 wins, San Jose Earthquakes 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Real Salt Lake — San Jose Earthquakes What is xG? | 1.9–1.5 | |
| Real Salt Lake not to lose | 73% | |
| San Jose Earthquakes not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 32% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
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- Real Salt Lake goals
- San Jose Earthquakes goals
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Form
- 11.10away · Philadelphia Union1:2
- 27.09New England Revolution3:0
- 24.09away · Seattle Sounders FC0:2
- 20.09Vancouver Whitecaps0:3
- 13.09New York City FC0:2
- 11.10away · Colorado Rapids1:1
- 27.09Portland Timbers3:1
- 20.09Los Angeles FC2:2
- 13.09Houston Dynamo FC1:0
- 10.09away · San Diego FC3:2
Head to head
- 27.07.2025Real Salt Lake — San Jose Earthquakes2:1
- 23.02.2025San Jose Earthquakes — Real Salt Lake4:0
- 06.10.2024San Jose Earthquakes — Real Salt Lake0:1
- 25.08.2024Real Salt Lake — San Jose Earthquakes0:2
- 17.09.2023San Jose Earthquakes — Real Salt Lake2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | +7 | 47 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Charlotte FC | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 21 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | -3 | 32 |
| 22 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | -5 | 32 |
| 23 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | -11 | 32 |
MLS on the same day
- 3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
- 4825261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 4427291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- 5923181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
- 4128311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 3528372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.4
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →