Major League Soccer (MLS), round 29 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · America First Field
Real Salt Lake — San Jose Earthquakes
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Evenly matched: Real Salt Lake 40%, San Jose Earthquakes 33%, draw 27%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 68%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Real Salt Lake — San Jose Earthquakes What is xG? | 1.7–1.6 | |
| Real Salt Lake not to lose | 67% | |
| San Jose Earthquakes not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 32% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Real Salt Lake
- Real Salt Lake goals
- San Jose Earthquakes goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Philadelphia Union1:2
- 27.09New England Revolution3:0
- 24.09away · Seattle Sounders FC0:2
- 20.09Vancouver Whitecaps0:3
- 13.09New York City FC0:2
- 11.10away · Colorado Rapids1:1
- 27.09Portland Timbers3:1
- 20.09Los Angeles FC2:2
- 13.09Houston Dynamo FC1:0
- 10.09away · San Diego FC3:2
Head to head
- 27.07.2025Real Salt Lake — San Jose Earthquakes2:1
- 23.02.2025San Jose Earthquakes — Real Salt Lake4:0
- 06.10.2024San Jose Earthquakes — Real Salt Lake0:1
- 25.08.2024Real Salt Lake — San Jose Earthquakes0:2
- 17.09.2023San Jose Earthquakes — Real Salt Lake2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | +7 | 47 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Charlotte FC | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 21 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | -3 | 32 |
| 22 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | -5 | 32 |
| 23 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | -11 | 32 |
MLS on the same day
- 4326311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.5
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 4327301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- 5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
- 4427281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →