EFL Championship, round 9 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Bramall Lane
Sheffield United — Lincoln City
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:0Came true
In short
Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Sheffield United to win (42%), came true.
Sheffield United are slightly stronger: 42% against 29%, draw 30%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sheffield United are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sheffield United — Lincoln City What is xG? | 1.4–1.1 | |
| Sheffield United not to lose | 71% | |
| Lincoln City not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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Form
- 19.09away · Stoke City1:2
- 16.09away · Fleetwood Town0:1
- 13.09Wolverhampton Wanderers0:1
- 08.09away · Blackburn Rovers2:1
- 05.09Norwich City1:3
- 19.09Swansea City1:2
- 15.09away · Bristol City1:0
- 12.09away · Preston North End1:0
- 08.09away · AFC Bournemouth0:4
- 05.09Southampton1:1
Head to head
- 30.08.2023Sheffield United — Lincoln City0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bolton Wanderers | 10 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Sheffield United | 9 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 9 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 | Cardiff City | 10 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
Next matches
- PortsmouthSheffield United14 October · Championship3829331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- Lincoln CityWest Ham United14 October · Championship3327402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
Championship on the same day
- 353134XThe most likely outcome came true: X1:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:1, exactly right.2.2
- 4329281The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 383032XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X0:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:0.2.3
- 4728251The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 4428281The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.7
- 4428281The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.6
- 4627271The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:0, exactly right.2.9
- 3129402The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:1, exactly right.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →