Serie B, round 6 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Stadio Enrico Sannazzari

Virtus Entella — Juve Stabia

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Model prediction and result

1:1Missed
Virtus Entella46%
Draw30%
Juve Stabia24%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Virtus Entella to win (46%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 46% fails in about 54 matches out of 100 on average.

Virtus Entella are clear favourites: 46% against 24% for the opponent, draw 30%.

The model expects few goals: 2.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.

Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 43%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • Last 2 meetings: Virtus Entella 0 wins, Juve Stabia 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Virtus Entella — Juve Stabia What is xG?1.2–0.8
Virtus Entella not to lose76%
Juve Stabia not to lose54%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes43%
Both teams to score: no57%
Total over 2.535%
Total under 2.565%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Virtus Entella
  • Virtus Entella goals
  • Juve Stabia goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Virtus Entella

  • 19.09away · Cremonese0:0
  • 11.09away · Pisa4:1
  • 06.09LR Vicenza2:2
  • 29.08Cesena1:2
  • 22.08away · Südtirol0:1

Juve Stabia

  • 18.09Cesena1:1
  • 12.09away · LR Vicenza1:1
  • 06.09Pisa0:3
  • 29.08away · Sampdoria2:1
  • 23.08away · Palermo0:1

Head to head

  • 24.01.2026Juve Stabia — Virtus Entella1:0
  • 23.08.2025Virtus Entella — Juve Stabia1:1

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
12Arezzo62136–13-77
13Virtus Entella61328–7+16
14Cremonese61325–7-26
15Juve Stabia61325–8-36
16, Relegation play-offEmpoli62046–10-46

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

  • PadovaVirtus Entella17 October · Serie B
    XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.4
  • Juve StabiaSüdtirol18 October · Serie B
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4

Serie B on the same day

  • XThe most likely outcome did not happen: XFinal score 2:0. Model's score: 0:0.2.6
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 2:4. Model's score: 1:2.2.6
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:3. Model's score: 1:2.3.1
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 0:0. Model's score: 0:2.2.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →