EFL Championship, round 10 · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Racecourse Ground
Wrexham — West Bromwich Albion
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:2Missed
In short
Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Wrexham to win (43%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 43% fails in about 57 matches out of 100 on average.
Wrexham are slightly stronger: 43% against 27%, draw 30%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Wrexham: only 3 days of rest since the previous match.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Wrexham — West Bromwich Albion What is xG? | 1.3–1.0 | |
| Wrexham not to lose | 73% | |
| West Bromwich Albion not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Wrexham
- Wrexham goals
- West Bromwich Albion goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10away · Derby County1:1
- 19.09Southampton2:1
- 11.09away · West Ham United0:6
- 08.09Burnley1:1
- 05.09away · Swansea City0:0
- 10.10Birmingham City0:1
- 20.09away · Wolverhampton Wanderers0:1
- 12.09Queens Park Rangers1:1
- 09.09away · Derby County1:0
- 05.09Watford1:0
Head to head
- 03.04.2026West Bromwich Albion — Wrexham2:2
- 16.08.2025Wrexham — West Bromwich Albion2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Birmingham City | 10 | 4 | +6 | 17 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | West Bromwich Albion | 10 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | West Ham United | 9 | 4 | +11 | 16 |
| 15 | Sheffield United | 9 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 9 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
Next matches
- WrexhamPreston North End17 October · Championship5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- West Bromwich AlbionBlackburn Rovers17 October · Championship5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
Championship on the same day
- 4130301The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
- 5826161The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.4
- 4728261The most likely outcome came true: 15:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- 4927241The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 6322151The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:3Final score 1:3. Model's score: 1:0.3.0
- 6024161The most likely outcome came true: 14:0Final score 4:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
- 2128512The most likely outcome came true: 22:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 0:1.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →