VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Friday, 16 October, MSK
AKM — Gornyak
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: AKM 48%, Gornyak 52% including overtime.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AKM — Gornyak | 2.5–2.6 | |
| AKM to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Gornyak to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap AKM
- AKM goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:3
- 10.10Orsk3:0
- 05.10away · Perm0:3
- 03.10away · Toros Neftekamsk3:0
- 01.10away · Izhevsk3:4 OT
- 06.10Bars2:3
- 04.10Almetyevsk1:2 SO
- 02.10CSK VVS5:2
- 26.09away · Khimik4:1
- 24.09away · Zvezda Moscow3:2
Head to head
- 24.02.2026Gornyak — AKM4:2
- 18.09.2025AKM — Gornyak0:1
- 11.01.2025AKM — Gornyak1:4
- 10.11.2024Gornyak — AKM1:7
- 31.01.2024Gornyak — AKM1:0
Table
VHL on the same day
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.3
- 63371The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →