NHL · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Colorado Avalanche — Pittsburgh Penguins
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Colorado Avalanche are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.
6.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 64%.
Why
- Colorado Avalanche are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 2.7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Colorado Avalanche — Pittsburgh Penguins | 3.5–2.7 | |
| Colorado Avalanche to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 64% | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 36% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 64% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 36% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Colorado Avalanche
- Colorado Avalanche goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Toronto Maple Leafs3:6
- 09.10away · Calgary Flames7:3
- 08.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:3
- 04.10St. Louis Blues6:1
- 01.10Los Angeles Kings8:4
- 11.10Dallas Stars2:1 SO
- 10.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets2:3 SO
- 08.10away · Washington Capitals3:5
- 06.10Winnipeg Jets2:3
- 04.10Montreal Canadiens6:5 OT
Head to head
- 25.03.2026Pittsburgh Penguins — Colorado Avalanche2:6
- 17.03.2026Colorado Avalanche — Pittsburgh Penguins2:7
- 05.03.2025Colorado Avalanche — Pittsburgh Penguins4:1
- 11.12.2024Pittsburgh Penguins — Colorado Avalanche2:6
- 24.03.2024Colorado Avalanche — Pittsburgh Penguins5:4 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Tampa Bay Lightning | 5 | 4 | +4 | 8 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Pittsburgh Penguins | 6 | 3 | +5 | 7 |
| 13, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Toronto Maple Leafs | 6 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 5 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 15, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 5 | 3 | +9 | 6 |
| 16, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Washington Capitals | 5 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
NHL on the same day
- 48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.4
- 38622The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
- 71291The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 5:25.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →