NHL · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Washington Capitals — New Jersey Devils
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Washington Capitals are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.
Why
- Washington Capitals are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Washington Capitals — New Jersey Devils | 2.9–2.5 | |
| Washington Capitals to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| New Jersey Devils to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 51% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 49% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Washington Capitals
- Washington Capitals goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Seattle Kraken3:5
- 10.10New York Rangers3:1
- 08.10Pittsburgh Penguins5:3
- 04.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning1:3
- 03.10away · Carolina Hurricanes5:2
- 13.10Ottawa Senators1:4
- 10.10Vancouver Canucks4:1
- 07.10Utah Mammoth3:5
- 04.10away · New York Islanders0:6
- 02.10Philadelphia Flyers3:2 OT
Head to head
- 03.04.2026New Jersey Devils — Washington Capitals7:3
- 21.03.2026Washington Capitals — New Jersey Devils2:1
- 28.12.2025New Jersey Devils — Washington Capitals3:4 OT
- 16.11.2025Washington Capitals — New Jersey Devils2:3 SO
- 01.12.2024New Jersey Devils — Washington Capitals5:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 5 | 3 | +9 | 6 |
| 16, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Washington Capitals | 5 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 17 | Nashville Predators | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 25 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 4 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 26 | New Jersey Devils | 5 | 2 | -7 | 4 |
| 27 | Vancouver Canucks | 7 | 2 | -11 | 4 |
NHL on the same day
- 64361The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 5:26.2
- 48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 2:55.8
- 38622The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:45.4
- 71291The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 5:25.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →