AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Hershey Bears — Providence Bruins
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Providence Bruins are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.1 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hershey Bears — Providence Bruins | 2.5–2.6 | |
| Hershey Bears to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Providence Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
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- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Hershey Bears
- Hershey Bears goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Texas Stars6:1
- 11.10Texas Stars2:1
- 04.10Charlotte Checkers3:2
- 04.10Charlotte Checkers2:5
- 08.05Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:4
- 11.10Wilkes-Barre/Scranton2:6
- 11.10Charlotte Checkers6:2
- 10.10Hartford Wolf Pack0:2
- 04.10Springfield Thunderbirds0:2
- 03.10Utica Comets1:2
Head to head
- 08.03.2026Providence Bruins — Hershey Bears5:4
- 13.12.2025Hershey Bears — Providence Bruins1:4
- 11.12.2025Hershey Bears — Providence Bruins1:3
- 02.11.2025Providence Bruins — Hershey Bears0:2
- 05.01.2025Hershey Bears — Providence Bruins5:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Toronto Marlies | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 8 | Hershey Bears | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 9 | Cleveland Monsters | 4 | 3 | +2 | 6 | .750 |
| 29 | Syracuse Crunch | 4 | 1 | -10 | 2 | .250 |
| 30 | Providence Bruins | 5 | 1 | -5 | 2 | .200 |
| 31 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 3 | 0 | -7 | 1 | .167 |
AHL on the same day
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- 69311The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.5
- 46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- 50502The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.7
- 38622The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.6
- 35652The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →