AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Springfield Thunderbirds — Lehigh Valley Phantoms
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: Springfield Thunderbirds 50%, Lehigh Valley Phantoms 50% including overtime.
5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 2.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Springfield Thunderbirds — Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 2.9–2.9 | |
| Springfield Thunderbirds to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Lehigh Valley Phantoms to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 56% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Springfield Thunderbirds
- Springfield Thunderbirds goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Charlotte Checkers1:2 SO
- 11.10Laval Rocket2:5
- 04.10away · Providence Bruins2:0
- 04.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton3:2 OT
- 24.05away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton1:8
- 11.10Cleveland Monsters2:5
- 11.10Cleveland Monsters4:5 OT
- 04.10Hartford Wolf Pack2:5
- 19.04away · Charlotte Checkers1:4
- 18.04away · Charlotte Checkers2:0
Head to head
- 16.04.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Lehigh Valley Phantoms7:1
- 28.03.2026Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Springfield Thunderbirds3:5
- 31.01.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Lehigh Valley Phantoms2:1
- 11.01.2026Springfield Thunderbirds — Lehigh Valley Phantoms2:3
- 18.12.2025Lehigh Valley Phantoms — Springfield Thunderbirds1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Iowa Wild | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .625 |
| 17 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 4 | 2 | -1 | 5 | .625 |
| 18 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 5 | 3 | -3 | 6 | .600 |
| 30 | Providence Bruins | 5 | 1 | -5 | 2 | .200 |
| 31 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 3 | 0 | -7 | 1 | .167 |
| 32 | Chicago Wolves | 4 | 0 | -17 | 0 | .000 |
AHL on the same day
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- 69311The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.5
- 46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- 38622The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.6
- 35652The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →