Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK
JYP — Lukko
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: JYP 49%, Lukko 51% including overtime.
5.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 50%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: JYP — Lukko | 2.7–2.7 | |
| JYP to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Lukko to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 50% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 50% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap JYP
- JYP goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 09.10away · Kiekko-Espoo1:6
- 08.10away · SaiPa2:1
- 03.10away · TPS Turku1:4
- 02.10away · Hameenlinna1:2
- 25.09away · IFK Helsinki4:3
Head to head
- 09.09.2026Lukko — JYP0:5
- 03.02.2026Lukko — JYP5:2
- 27.01.2026JYP — Lukko4:3
- 21.11.2025JYP — Lukko4:3 OT
- 10.10.2025Lukko — JYP4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Karpat | 13 | 5 | +1 | 22 |
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | JYP | 10 | 7 | +5 | 21 |
| 6, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 5 | +10 | 20 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | SaiPa | 11 | 5 | +10 | 20 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lukko | 11 | 6 | +6 | 20 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Tappara | 11 | 5 | +8 | 19 |
Liiga on the same day
- 54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- 59411The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →