Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK
KalPa — Assat
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
KalPa are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.
Why
- KalPa are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: KalPa — Assat | 2.8–2.3 | |
| KalPa to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Assat to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 44% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 56% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap KalPa
- KalPa goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 09.10Hameenlinna2:3 SO
- 07.10away · Jukurit1:0
- 03.10away · Lukko5:2
- 02.10Lukko0:3
- 26.09away · Hameenlinna4:5 OT
Head to head
- 05.03.2026Assat — KalPa2:3
- 30.01.2026KalPa — Assat2:3 OT
- 28.11.2025Assat — KalPa5:1
- 24.09.2025KalPa — Assat4:7
- 09.04.2025KalPa — Assat3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Jukurit | 14 | 6 | +7 | 24 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Assat | 12 | 6 | +3 | 22 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Karpat | 13 | 5 | +1 | 22 |
| 12, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Pelicans | 10 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | KalPa | 11 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | IFK Helsinki | 11 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
Liiga on the same day
- 54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- 49512The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →