DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Krefeld Pinguine — Kolner

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Model prediction for 30 October

Krefeld Pinguine46%
Draw in regulation21%
Kolner33%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Krefeld Pinguine are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 54%.

Why

  • Krefeld Pinguine are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Krefeld Pinguine — Kolner3.0–2.6
Krefeld Pinguine to win (incl. OT and shootout)58%
Kolner to win (incl. OT and shootout)42%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)54%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)46%

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Form

Krefeld Pinguine

  • 11.10Augsburger Panther1:2
  • 08.10away · Frankfurt Lowen5:2
  • 04.10away · Iserlohn Roosters2:3
  • 02.10ERC Ingolstadt3:1
  • 27.09Schwenninger5:2

Kolner

  • 11.10Nurnberg Ice Tigers4:2
  • 09.10Schwenninger1:4
  • 04.10away · ERC Ingolstadt6:3
  • 02.10Munchen2:4
  • 27.09away · Augsburger Panther6:4

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsGrizzly Wolfsburg8312226–27-113
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKrefeld Pinguine8400424–20+412
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKolner8311332–34-212
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFrankfurt Lowen8211419–18+19

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →