KHL · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Salavat Ufa — Sochi

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Model prediction for 27 October

Salavat Ufa63%
Draw in regulation19%
Sochi18%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Salavat Ufa are clear favourites: 75% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.

Why

  • Salavat Ufa are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 1.8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Salavat Ufa — Sochi3.2–1.8
Salavat Ufa to win (incl. OT and shootout)75%
Sochi to win (incl. OT and shootout)25%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)42%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)58%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
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Form

Salavat Ufa

  • 12.10Niznekamsk4:3
  • 09.10away · Magnitogorsk1:7
  • 07.10away · Novosibirsk5:4 OT
  • 05.10away · CSKA Moscow1:3
  • 02.10Novosibirsk2:4

Sochi

  • 12.10away · Bars Kazan3:2
  • 09.10Spartak Moscow0:2
  • 07.10Spartak Moscow2:5
  • 03.10Nizhny Novgorod0:6
  • 30.09Salavat Ufa6:3

Head to head

  • 30.09.2026Sochi — Salavat Ufa6:3
  • 20.03.2026Salavat Ufa — Sochi2:1
  • 24.01.2026Sochi — Salavat Ufa1:2
  • 19.11.2025Sochi — Salavat Ufa2:1
  • 05.10.2025Salavat Ufa — Sochi3:1

Full record: 28 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceKhabarovsk1481523–20+317
10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceSalavat Ufa1581646–47-117
11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conferenceDinamo Minsk1565442–48-617
20Tractor Chelyabinsk1350824–33-910
21Sochi14301119–49-306
22Lada15141024–59-356

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →