Salavat Ufa — Sochi
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Salavat Ufa are clear favourites: 75% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.
Why
- Salavat Ufa are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 1.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Salavat Ufa — Sochi | 3.2–1.8 | |
| Salavat Ufa to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 75% | |
| Sochi to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 25% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 42% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Salavat Ufa
- Salavat Ufa goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 12.10Niznekamsk4:3
- 09.10away · Magnitogorsk1:7
- 07.10away · Novosibirsk5:4 OT
- 05.10away · CSKA Moscow1:3
- 02.10Novosibirsk2:4
- 12.10away · Bars Kazan3:2
- 09.10Spartak Moscow0:2
- 07.10Spartak Moscow2:5
- 03.10Nizhny Novgorod0:6
- 30.09Salavat Ufa6:3
Head to head
- 30.09.2026Sochi — Salavat Ufa6:3
- 20.03.2026Salavat Ufa — Sochi2:1
- 24.01.2026Sochi — Salavat Ufa1:2
- 19.11.2025Sochi — Salavat Ufa2:1
- 05.10.2025Salavat Ufa — Sochi3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Salavat Ufa | 15 | 8 | -1 | 17 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 15 | 6 | -6 | 17 |
| 20 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 13 | 5 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 | Sochi | 14 | 3 | -30 | 6 |
| 22 | Lada | 15 | 1 | -35 | 6 |
KHL on the same day
- LadaVladivostokpreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.9
- NiznekamskMagnitogorskpreliminary35652The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3
- SKA St. PetersburgNizhny Novgorodpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →