Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Monday, 5 October, MSK

Gauff C. — Sun X.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Gauff C.96%
Sun X.4%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Gauff C. to win (96%), came true.

Gauff C. are clear favourites: 96% against 4% for the opponent.

Over 17.5 games — 33%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Gauff C. 1951, Sun X. 1550.

Probabilities

Games over 17.533%
Games under 17.567%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Gauff C. games
  • Sun X. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Gauff C.

  • 03.10Osorio C.2:1

Sun X.

  • 03.10Bucsa C.2:0
  • 01.10Lys E.1:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Gauff C.Mertens E.7 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.19.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.17.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 96% will not happen in roughly 4 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →