2. Bundesliga: matchday 8 predictions
16–18 October · 9 matches · season 2026/27
2. Bundesliga matchday 8: 9 matches, 16–18 October. The model expects 3.2 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 8 matches, an away win in 1. In matchday 7 the most likely outcome came true in 4 of 9 matches.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favouriteArminia Bielefeld — VfL OsnabrückArminia Bielefeld 56% to win; most likely score 2:0
- Closest matchEnergie Cottbus — 1. FC Nürnberg37% v 38%, draw 25%
- Most goals expected · Top-of-the-table clashWolfsburg — FC Heidenheim3.9 goals on average; over 2.5: 67%; 5th v 3rd in the table
What is at stake
Hertha BSC lead with 21 points from 7 matches; 1. FC Nürnberg are second, 4 points behind. The leader’s game this round: Holstein Kiel — Hertha BSC, 36% to win. Title chances by the season forecast: Hertha BSC 49%, 1. FC Nürnberg 22%.
In the relegation and relegation play-off places: Dynamo Dresden, Karlsruher SC and Holstein Kiel; they are 1 to 2 points behind 15th place. Most at risk by the season forecast: Karlsruher SC, 31% to go down.
The matches
Friday, 16 October
- 3725382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.7
- 3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
Saturday, 17 October
- 4527281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 4429281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 4725291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.9
- 4627261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
Sunday, 18 October
- 5623201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- 4227311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
- 3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.
2. Bundesliga: matches and table →Season forecast →Power rankings →