Kazakhstan Premier League: power rankings
Season 2026 · updated 14 October 2026
The strongest side by the model is Ordabasy Shymkent: +0.96 goals per game against an average opponent. Biggest climber of the week: Ordabasy Shymkent (+1).
- Best attackOrdabasy Shymkent1.61 goals per game
- Best defenceOrdabasy Shymkent0.65 conceded per game
- Climber of the weekOrdabasy Shymkent▲1 · now 1
- Faller of the weekKairat Almaty▼1 · now 2
Ranking
Rating — goal difference per game against an average opponent at a neutral venue. ▲▼ — places gained or lost in a week.
| # | Team | Rating | Att. | Def. | Table | Form | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1▲1 | Ordabasy Shymkent | +0.96 | 1.61 | 0.65 | 1 | WWWLW | 17 October · at Aktobe (4) |
| 2▼1 | Kairat Almaty | +0.89 | 1.56 | 0.67 | 2 | WLLWW | 18 October · Irtysh Pavlodar (13) |
| 3 | FC Astana | +0.50 | 1.37 | 0.87 | 3 | LWLWW | 14 October · at Irtysh Pavlodar (13) |
| 4▲1 | Aktobe | +0.20 | 1.23 | 1.03 | 4 | WDWWL | 17 October · Ordabasy Shymkent (1) |
| 5▼1 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | +0.15 | 1.29 | 1.14 | 5 | LWLWW | 17 October · FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk (12) |
| 6 | FC Yelimay | +0.04 | 1.16 | 1.12 | 6 | LWWLL | 14 October · at Atyrau (10) |
| 7 | Tobol Kostanay | +0.02 | 1.11 | 1.09 | 7 | WLWWL | 17 October · Zhenis (9) |
| 8▲1 | Ulytau | −0.14 | 0.83 | 0.97 | 8 | WDLLW | 18 October · at FC Yelimay (6) |
| 9▼1 | Zhenis | −0.20 | 0.85 | 1.05 | 9 | LLWLL | 17 October · at Tobol Kostanay (7) |
| 10▲1 | Atyrau | −0.21 | 0.69 | 0.90 | 12 | WLLWL | 14 October · FC Yelimay (6) |
| 11▼1 | Kaspiy Aktau | −0.22 | 0.92 | 1.14 | 10 | WWLLW | 18 October · at FC Astana (3) |
| 12▲1 | FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk | −0.22 | 0.95 | 1.18 | 11 | WDLLL | 17 October · at Okzhetpes Kokshetau (5) |
| 13▼1 | Irtysh Pavlodar | −0.32 | 0.84 | 1.16 | 13 | LWWLW | 14 October · FC Astana (3) |
| 14▲1 | FC Altai Oskemen | −0.36 | 0.84 | 1.20 | 15 | LLWWL | 18 October · Atyrau (10) |
| 15▼1 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | −0.37 | 0.75 | 1.12 | 14 | LDWLL | 17 October · at Zhetysu Taldykorgan (16) |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | −0.46 | 0.86 | 1.32 | 16 | LLLWL | 17 October · Kaisar Kyzylorda (15) |
How it is calculated
Only this season counts. The model rates every team’s attack and defence from this season’s matches — by expected goals (xG, the quality of chances) and actual goals, 60 to 40 — taking into account how strong the opponents were. The rating is the goal difference per game it expects against an average team of the league at a neutral venue. Every team starts with three games of league-average form, so a couple of lucky results early on do not make a leader.
Kazakhstan Premier League: matches and table →
Kazakhstan Premier League: season forecast →