Chilean Primera: matchday 25 predictions
24–27 October · 8 matches · season 2026
Chilean Primera matchday 25: 8 matches, 24–27 October. The model expects 2.8 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 3 matches, an away win in 5. In matchday 24 the most likely outcome came true in 3 of 7 matches. The round is more than a week away: the estimates are preliminary and will be refined closer to the matches.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favourite · Top-of-the-table clashUniversidad de Chile — Everton CDUniversidad de Chile 65% to win; most likely score 2:0; 2nd v 4th in the table
- Closest matchLa Serena — Deportes Concepción36% v 36%, draw 28%
- Most goals expectedPalestino — Colo Colo3.0 goals on average; over 2.5: 58%
- Possible upsetUnión La Calera — Universidad CatólicaUnión La Calera 19% to win: the best underdog chance of the round
What is at stake
Colo Colo lead with 54 points from 24 matches; Universidad de Chile are second, 9 points behind. The leader’s game this round: Palestino — Colo Colo, 39% to win. Title chances by the season forecast: Colo Colo 96%, Universidad de Chile 2%.
In the relegation zone: Universidad de Concepción and Unión La Calera; they are 2 to 7 points behind 14th place. Most at risk by the season forecast: Unión La Calera, 98% to go down.
The matches
Saturday, 24 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 4526291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3628362The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
Sunday, 25 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 4725281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 2827452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
- 1924562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
- 3526392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
Monday, 26 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
Tuesday, 27 Octoberpreliminary estimates
- 6520151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.
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