Chilean Liga de Primera, round 25 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Universidad de Chile — Everton CD
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Universidad de Chile are clear favourites: 65% against 15% for the opponent, draw 20%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Universidad de Chile are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Universidad de Chile — Everton CD What is xG? | 1.9–0.8 | |
| Universidad de Chile not to lose | 85% | |
| Everton CD not to lose | 35% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Universidad de Chile
- Universidad de Chile goals
- Everton CD goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Ñublense6:0
- 13.09away · La Serena3:0
- 06.09Coquimbo Unido4:2
- 30.08away · Universidad de Concepción1:2
- 23.08Colo Colo1:2
- 11.10La Serena3:2
- 12.09away · Ñublense3:1
- 06.09Universidad Católica0:1
- 30.08away · Deportes Limache3:0
- 25.08Universidad de Concepción3:1
Head to head
- 19.04.2026Everton CD — Universidad de Chile0:0
- 05.11.2025Universidad de Chile — Everton CD2:0
- 28.03.2025Everton CD — Universidad de Chile2:0
- 10.11.2024Universidad de Chile — Everton CD1:1
- 02.06.2024Everton CD — Universidad de Chile1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 24 | 17 | +23 | 54 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 24 | 13 | +22 | 45 |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 23 | 13 | +17 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton CD | 24 | 11 | +13 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 24 | 11 | +3 | 37 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →