Chilean Liga de Primera, round 25 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Audax Italiano — Huachipato

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Model prediction for 24 October

Audax Italiano45%
Draw26%
Huachipato29%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Audax Italiano are slightly stronger: 45% against 29%, draw 26%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Audax Italiano are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Audax Italiano — Huachipato What is xG?1.5–1.2
Audax Italiano not to lose71%
Huachipato not to lose55%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.550%
Total under 2.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Audax Italiano
  • Audax Italiano goals
  • Huachipato goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Audax Italiano

  • 14.09O'Higgins1:0
  • 05.09away · Deportes Concepción1:0
  • 31.08away · Colo Colo1:5
  • 22.08Unión La Calera0:0
  • 16.08away · Everton CD1:1

Huachipato

  • 10.10O'Higgins2:0
  • 03.10away · Universidad de Concepción2:0
  • 17.09away · Coquimbo Unido1:0
  • 06.09Colo Colo0:0
  • 23.08Deportes Limache1:3

Head to head

  • 20.04.2026Huachipato — Audax Italiano3:2
  • 09.11.2025Huachipato — Audax Italiano2:1
  • 27.05.2025Audax Italiano — Huachipato4:3
  • 20.10.2024Audax Italiano — Huachipato0:2
  • 21.05.2024Huachipato — Audax Italiano0:1

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6Deportes Limache241041045–37+834
7Huachipato241041034–39-534
8Coquimbo Unido24951036–34+232
11La Serena2479836–41-530
12Audax Italiano2377926–31-528
13O'Higgins24831328–38-1027

Season 2026

Full table

Chilean Primera on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →