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2. Bundesliga, round 12 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

1. FC Nürnberg — Eintracht Braunschweig

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Model prediction for 21 November

1. FC Nürnberg54%
Draw26%
Eintracht Braunschweig20%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

1. FC Nürnberg are clear favourites: 54% against 20% for the opponent, draw 26%.

3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 64%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings 1. FC Nürnberg are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
  • 1. FC Nürnberg are 262 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: 1. FC Nürnberg — No. 2, 21 pts; Eintracht Braunschweig — No. 15, 10 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: 1. FC Nürnberg 4 wins, Eintracht Braunschweig 0, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: 1. FC Nürnberg — Eintracht Braunschweig What is xG?1.9–1.2
1. FC Nürnberg not to lose80%
Eintracht Braunschweig not to lose46%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes64%
Both teams to score: no36%
Total over 2.562%
Total under 2.538%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap 1. FC Nürnberg
  • 1. FC Nürnberg goals
  • Eintracht Braunschweig goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat1. FC NürnbergEintracht Braunschweig
Goals scored per match2.01.2
Goals conceded per match1.72.1
xG per match1.531.33
Opponents’ xG1.991.69
Shots17.014.9
On target6.05.3
Corners5.95.2
Cards2.02.2
Possession, %5649

Averages per match: 1. FC Nürnberg — the last 10, Eintracht Braunschweig — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

1. FC Nürnberg

  • 01.11away · St. Pauli3:1
  • 28.10away · Bayer Leverkusen2:5
  • 24.10Kaiserslautern0:1
  • 16.10away · Energie Cottbus1:1
  • 10.10Wolfsburg4:4

Eintracht Braunschweig

  • 30.10away · Arminia Bielefeld1:3
  • 25.10Hannover 962:0
  • 17.10away · Greuther Fürth0:2
  • 09.10Holstein Kiel1:0
  • 19.09away · Kaiserslautern0:1

Head to head

  • 05.04.2026Eintracht Braunschweig — 1. FC Nürnberg1:1
  • 01.11.20251. FC Nürnberg — Eintracht Braunschweig2:1
  • 18.05.2025Eintracht Braunschweig — 1. FC Nürnberg1:4
  • 21.12.20241. FC Nürnberg — Eintracht Braunschweig1:0
  • 02.03.20241. FC Nürnberg — Eintracht Braunschweig2:1

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, PromotionHertha BSC1091023–8+1528
2, Promotion1. FC Nürnberg1063124–13+1121
3, Promotion play-offsWolfsburg1054125–14+1119
14Energie Cottbus1024418–20-210
15Eintracht Braunschweig1031616–18-210
16, Relegation play-offDarmstadt102359–19-109

Season 2026/27

Full table

2. Bundesliga on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →