2. Bundesliga, round 12 · Saturday, 21 November, 15:00 (UTC+3)

Hannover 96 — Greuther Fürth

Model prediction for 21 November

Hannover 9661%

Draw22%

Greuther Fürth17%

Model estimate at 08:25 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Hannover 96 are clear favourites: 61% against 17% for the opponent, draw 22%.

3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 61%.

Why

By the strength ratings Hannover 96 are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Hannover 96 are 144 points higher on Elo.

Facts

League table: Hannover 96 — No. 12, 11 pts; Greuther Fürth — No. 9, 12 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
Last 5 meetings: Hannover 96 1 win, Greuther Fürth 2, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Hannover 96 — Greuther Fürth What is xG?		2.1–1.1
Hannover 96 not to lose		83%
Greuther Fürth not to lose		39%
No draw		78%
Both teams to score: yes		61%
Both teams to score: no		39%
Total over 2.5		63%
Total under 2.5		37%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Hannover 96
Hannover 96 goals
Greuther Fürth goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Hannover 96	Greuther Fürth
Goals scored per match	1.8	1.3
Goals conceded per match	1.5	1.7
xG per match	2.29	1.29
Opponents’ xG	1.33	1.44
Shots	19.3	14.4
On target	7.5	4.3
Corners	6.5	7.3
Cards	2.1	1.0
Possession, %	53	53

Averages per match: Hannover 96 — the last 10, Greuther Fürth — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Hannover 96

01.11Dynamo Dresden2:1
28.10Kaiserslautern0:2
25.10away · Eintracht Braunschweig0:2
17.10St. Pauli1:1
10.10away · Magdeburg0:3

Greuther Fürth

01.11Holstein Kiel1:0
25.10away · VfL Osnabrück0:3
17.10Eintracht Braunschweig2:0
11.10away · Hertha BSC1:2
18.09Magdeburg1:1

Head to head

08.03.2026Hannover 96 — Greuther Fürth1:2
05.10.2025Greuther Fürth — Hannover 962:2
11.05.2025Hannover 96 — Greuther Fürth1:1
15.12.2024Greuther Fürth — Hannover 961:0
16.02.2024Hannover 96 — Greuther Fürth2:1

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
8	St. Pauli	10	2	6	2	12–12	0	12
9	Greuther Fürth	10	3	3	4	13–16	-3	12
10	VfL Osnabrück	10	3	2	5	14–17	-3	11
11	Bochum	10	3	2	5	8–11	-3	11
12	Hannover 96	10	3	2	5	10–16	-6	11
13	Karlsruher SC	10	3	2	5	13–21	-8	11

Season 2026/27

Full table

2. Bundesliga on the same day

15:00
1. FC NürnbergEintracht Braunschweigpreliminary
542620
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
15:00
WolfsburgHolstein Kielpreliminary
582418
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4
22:30
St. PauliBochumpreliminary
522721
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →