Scottish Premiership, round 13 · Saturday, 7 November, 20:45 (UTC+3)

Aberdeen — Hibernian

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Model prediction for 7 November

Aberdeen36%

Draw30%

Hibernian34%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

In short

Evenly matched: Aberdeen 36%, Hibernian 34%, draw 30%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 57%.

Why

By the strength ratings Hibernian are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
In recent matches the betting market rated Aberdeen higher than the model did — the forecast takes it into account.

Facts

League table: Aberdeen — No. 10, 11 pts; Hibernian — No. 12, 8 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
Hibernian: winless in 5.
Last 5 meetings: Aberdeen 2 wins, Hibernian 2, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Aberdeen — Hibernian What is xG?		1.3–1.3
Aberdeen not to lose		66%
Hibernian not to lose		64%
No draw		70%
Both teams to score: yes		57%
Both teams to score: no		43%
Total over 2.5		52%
Total under 2.5		48%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Aberdeen
Aberdeen goals
Hibernian goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Aberdeen	Hibernian
Goals scored per match	1.0	1.0
Goals conceded per match	1.3	1.5
xG per match	1.12	1.46
Opponents’ xG	1.46	1.46
Shots	13.3	15.1
On target	3.5	3.5
Corners	6.0	5.9
Cards	2.4	1.4
Possession, %	46	52

Averages per match: Aberdeen — the last 10, Hibernian — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Aberdeen

28.10Falkirk0:1
24.10away · Dundee United2:3
17.10St. Mirren3:1
11.10St. Johnstone0:1
19.09away · Hibernian1:1

Hibernian

28.10away · St. Mirren1:1
25.10Celtic1:2
17.10Falkirk1:2
10.10away · Dundee United0:1
19.09Aberdeen1:1

Head to head

19.09.2026Hibernian — Aberdeen1:1
11.04.2026Aberdeen — Hibernian2:0
30.12.2025Hibernian — Aberdeen2:0
26.10.2025Aberdeen — Hibernian1:2
26.04.2025Aberdeen — Hibernian1:0

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
9, Relegation round	Motherwell	12	3	3	6	14–20	-6	12
10, Relegation round	Aberdeen	11	3	2	6	12–14	-2	11
11, Relegation round	Kilmarnock	12	2	3	7	13–28	-15	9
12, Relegation round	Hibernian	11	2	2	7	11–17	-6	8

Season 2026/27

Full table

Scottish Premiership on the same day

18:00
Dundee UnitedMotherwell
432829
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
18:00
St. JohnstoneDundee FC
382734
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
23:00
St. MirrenRangers
112068
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →