St. Mirren — Rangers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Rangers are clear favourites: 68% against 11% for the opponent, draw 20%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rangers are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
- Rangers are 215 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: St. Mirren — No. 8, 14 pts; Rangers — No. 2, 24 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
- Rangers: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: St. Mirren 0 wins, Rangers 3, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: St. Mirren 7, Rangers 10.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: St. Mirren — Rangers What is xG? | 0.9–2.1 | |
| St. Mirren not to lose | 32% | |
| Rangers not to lose | 89% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap St. Mirren
- St. Mirren goals
- Rangers goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | St. Mirren | Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.9 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| xG per match | 1.30 | 2.44 |
| Opponents’ xG | 2.09 | 1.06 |
| Shots | 11.8 | 19.6 |
| On target | 3.5 | 6.8 |
| Corners | 3.6 | 7.1 |
| Cards | 3.0 | 1.7 |
| Possession, % | 50 | 56 |
Form
- 31.10away · Motherwell0:1
- 28.10Hibernian1:1
- 24.10Dundee FC2:1
- 17.10away · Aberdeen1:3
- 10.10away · Heart of Midlothian0:5
- 28.10away · Heart of Midlothian2:2
- 24.10St. Johnstone4:0
- 17.10away · Dundee FC2:2
- 10.10Kilmarnock3:1
- 20.09away · Celtic1:0
Head to head
- 09.09.2026Rangers — St. Mirren1:0
- 15.03.2026St. Mirren — Rangers0:1
- 30.12.2025Rangers — St. Mirren2:1
- 24.08.2025St. Mirren — Rangers1:1
- 26.04.2025St. Mirren — Rangers2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | Celtic | 12 | 9 | +17 | 28 |
| 2, Championship round | Rangers | 11 | 7 | +10 | 24 |
| 3, Championship round | Heart of Midlothian | 11 | 6 | +7 | 20 |
| 7, Relegation round | St. Johnstone | 12 | 3 | -4 | 14 |
| 8, Relegation round | St. Mirren | 12 | 4 | -8 | 14 |
| 9, Relegation round | Motherwell | 12 | 3 | -6 | 12 |
Scottish Premiership on the same day
- 4328291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 3827341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 3630341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →