St. Johnstone — Dundee FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Evenly matched: St. Johnstone 38%, Dundee FC 34%, draw 27%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: St. Johnstone — No. 7, 14 pts; Dundee FC — No. 5, 17 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- St. Johnstone: winless in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: St. Johnstone 1 win, Dundee FC 2, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: St. Johnstone 7, Dundee FC 10.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: St. Johnstone — Dundee FC What is xG? | 1.5–1.4 | |
| St. Johnstone not to lose | 66% | |
| Dundee FC not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap St. Johnstone
- St. Johnstone goals
- Dundee FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | St. Johnstone | Dundee FC |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| xG per match | 1.15 | 1.50 |
| Opponents’ xG | 2.07 | 1.57 |
| Shots | 9.6 | 13.2 |
| On target | 3.3 | 4.8 |
| Corners | 2.8 | 5.2 |
| Cards | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Possession, % | 45 | 41 |
Form
- 31.10away · Kilmarnock2:2
- 28.10Motherwell2:2
- 24.10away · Rangers0:4
- 17.10Dundee United1:1
- 11.10away · Aberdeen1:0
- 28.10Kilmarnock3:1
- 24.10away · St. Mirren1:2
- 17.10Rangers2:2
- 10.10away · Falkirk2:1
- 19.09Motherwell2:1
Head to head
- 02.09.2026Dundee FC — St. Johnstone1:1
- 18.05.2025St. Johnstone — Dundee FC0:2
- 01.03.2025Dundee FC — St. Johnstone1:1
- 05.01.2025St. Johnstone — Dundee FC1:3
- 26.10.2024Dundee FC — St. Johnstone1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Championship round | Falkirk | 12 | 5 | +3 | 18 |
| 5, Championship round | Dundee FC | 11 | 5 | +4 | 17 |
| 6, Championship round | Dundee United | 11 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 7, Relegation round | St. Johnstone | 12 | 3 | -4 | 14 |
| 8, Relegation round | St. Mirren | 12 | 4 | -8 | 14 |
Scottish Premiership on the same day
- 4328291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 3630341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 1120682The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →