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Danish Superliga, round 15 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

AC Horsens — Silkeborg

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Model prediction for 22 November

AC Horsens47%
Draw27%
Silkeborg26%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

AC Horsens are clear favourites: 47% against 26% for the opponent, draw 27%.

3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 65%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings AC Horsens are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
  • AC Horsens are 80 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: AC Horsens — No. 7, 16 pts; Silkeborg — No. 9, 12 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Silkeborg: winless in 4.
  • Last 5 meetings: AC Horsens 2 wins, Silkeborg 2, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: AC Horsens — Silkeborg What is xG?1.8–1.3
AC Horsens not to lose74%
Silkeborg not to lose53%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes65%
Both teams to score: no35%
Total over 2.562%
Total under 2.538%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap AC Horsens
  • AC Horsens goals
  • Silkeborg goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatAC HorsensSilkeborg
Goals scored per match2.11.4
Goals conceded per match1.62.0
xG per match1.570.94
Opponents’ xG1.741.83
Shots13.610.3
On target5.54.2
Corners2.93.2
Cards2.31.9
Possession, %5048

Averages per match: AC Horsens — the last 10, Silkeborg — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

AC Horsens

  • 01.11away · Viborg0:1
  • 25.10Sønderjyske5:1
  • 16.10Randers FC0:0
  • 11.10away · Silkeborg3:3
  • 20.09AGF2:2

Silkeborg

  • 01.11away · OB1:4
  • 25.10Nordsjælland1:1
  • 18.10away · Sønderjyske0:4
  • 11.10AC Horsens3:3
  • 18.09away · Lyngby4:0

Head to head

  • 11.10.2026Silkeborg — AC Horsens3:3
  • 19.05.2023AC Horsens — Silkeborg0:1
  • 11.04.2023Silkeborg — AC Horsens1:2
  • 23.10.2022AC Horsens — Silkeborg3:2
  • 02.10.2022Silkeborg — AC Horsens2:1

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6, Championship roundOB1345415–17-217
7, Relegation roundAC Horsens1344523–21+216
8, Relegation roundAGF1326517–21-412
9, Relegation roundSilkeborg1326517–24-712
10, Relegation roundRanders FC1332813–21-811

Season 2026/27

Full table

Danish Superliga on the same day

  • ViborgRanders FCpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
  • SønderjyskeOBpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
  • NordsjællandFC Københavnpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →