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Danish Superliga, round 15 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Nordsjælland — FC København

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Model prediction for 22 November

Nordsjælland38%
Draw28%
FC København33%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Nordsjælland 38%, FC København 33%, draw 28%.

3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 67%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • League table: Nordsjælland — No. 5, 20 pts; FC København — No. 2, 29 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
  • Nordsjælland: winless in 5; FC København: unbeaten in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Nordsjælland 1 win, FC København 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Nordsjælland — FC København What is xG?1.6–1.6
Nordsjælland not to lose67%
FC København not to lose62%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes67%
Both teams to score: no33%
Total over 2.562%
Total under 2.538%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Nordsjælland
  • Nordsjælland goals
  • FC København goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatNordsjællandFC København
Goals scored per match1.42.0
Goals conceded per match1.80.6
xG per match1.771.71
Opponents’ xG1.640.86
Shots15.415.1
On target4.85.2
Corners5.14.6
Cards2.51.7
Possession, %5551

Averages per match: Nordsjælland — the last 10, FC København — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Nordsjælland

  • 01.11FC Midtjylland2:3
  • 25.10away · Silkeborg1:1
  • 22.10CSKA Sofia2:2
  • 18.10away · Lyngby3:3
  • 15.10away · Heart of Midlothian1:1

FC København

  • 02.11away · Sønderjyske2:0
  • 26.10OB1:1
  • 22.10away · FK Crvena Zvezda2:2
  • 18.10AGF1:1
  • 15.10Braga3:0

Head to head

  • 03.09.2026FC København — Nordsjælland2:0
  • 14.02.2026FC København — Nordsjælland1:2
  • 15.08.2025Nordsjælland — FC København1:3
  • 25.05.2025FC København — Nordsjælland3:0
  • 06.04.2025Nordsjælland — FC København0:1

Full record: 17 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Championship roundFC Midtjylland1394027–15+1231
2, Championship roundFC København1392228–12+1629
3, Championship roundViborg1372420–12+823
4, Championship roundBrøndby IF1371523–20+322
5, Championship roundNordsjælland1355320–17+320
6, Championship roundOB1345415–17-217

Season 2026/27

Full table

Danish Superliga on the same day

  • ViborgRanders FCpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
  • SønderjyskeOBpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →