Nordsjælland — FC København
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Nordsjælland 38%, FC København 33%, draw 28%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 67%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Nordsjælland — No. 5, 20 pts; FC København — No. 2, 29 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Nordsjælland: winless in 5; FC København: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Nordsjælland 1 win, FC København 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nordsjælland — FC København What is xG? | 1.6–1.6 | |
| Nordsjælland not to lose | 67% | |
| FC København not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Nordsjælland
- Nordsjælland goals
- FC København goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Nordsjælland | FC København |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| xG per match | 1.77 | 1.71 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.64 | 0.86 |
| Shots | 15.4 | 15.1 |
| On target | 4.8 | 5.2 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 4.6 |
| Cards | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Possession, % | 55 | 51 |
Form
- 01.11FC Midtjylland2:3
- 25.10away · Silkeborg1:1
- 22.10CSKA Sofia2:2
- 18.10away · Lyngby3:3
- 15.10away · Heart of Midlothian1:1
- 02.11away · Sønderjyske2:0
- 26.10OB1:1
- 22.10away · FK Crvena Zvezda2:2
- 18.10AGF1:1
- 15.10Braga3:0
Head to head
- 03.09.2026FC København — Nordsjælland2:0
- 14.02.2026FC København — Nordsjælland1:2
- 15.08.2025Nordsjælland — FC København1:3
- 25.05.2025FC København — Nordsjælland3:0
- 06.04.2025Nordsjælland — FC København0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | FC Midtjylland | 13 | 9 | +12 | 31 |
| 2, Championship round | FC København | 13 | 9 | +16 | 29 |
| 3, Championship round | Viborg | 13 | 7 | +8 | 23 |
| 4, Championship round | Brøndby IF | 13 | 7 | +3 | 22 |
| 5, Championship round | Nordsjælland | 13 | 5 | +3 | 20 |
| 6, Championship round | OB | 13 | 4 | -2 | 17 |
Danish Superliga on the same day
- ViborgRanders FCpreliminary5627171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- AC HorsensSilkeborgpreliminary4727261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- SønderjyskeOBpreliminary3629351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →