Danish Superliga, round 15 · Sunday, 22 November, 16:00 (UTC+3)

Viborg — Randers FC

Model prediction for 22 November

Viborg56%

Draw27%

Randers FC17%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Viborg are clear favourites: 56% against 17% for the opponent, draw 27%.

3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 62%.

Why

By the strength ratings Viborg are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Viborg are 272 points higher on Elo.

Facts

League table: Viborg — No. 3, 23 pts; Randers FC — No. 10, 11 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
Randers FC: winless in 5.
Last 5 meetings: Viborg 2 wins, Randers FC 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Viborg — Randers FC What is xG?		1.9–1.1
Viborg not to lose		83%
Randers FC not to lose		44%
No draw		73%
Both teams to score: yes		62%
Both teams to score: no		38%
Total over 2.5		61%
Total under 2.5		39%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Viborg
Viborg goals
Randers FC goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Viborg	Randers FC
Goals scored per match	1.9	1.0
Goals conceded per match	1.1	1.9
xG per match	1.65	1.31
Opponents’ xG	1.14	1.68
Shots	15.5	11.7
On target	4.9	3.7
Corners	5.0	4.5
Cards	1.2	2.2
Possession, %	48	46

Averages per match: Viborg — the last 10, Randers FC — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Viborg

01.11AC Horsens1:0
25.10away · AGF1:2
19.10FC Midtjylland1:2
11.10away · Randers FC2:0
20.09Nordsjælland4:1

Randers FC

30.10away · Lyngby1:2
23.10Brøndby IF1:3
16.10away · AC Horsens0:0
11.10Viborg0:2
20.09away · Sønderjyske2:4

Head to head

11.10.2026Randers FC — Viborg0:2
02.11.2025Viborg — Randers FC3:2
05.10.2025Randers FC — Viborg2:1
01.12.2024Viborg — Randers FC1:2
28.07.2024Randers FC — Viborg3:1

Full record: 15 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
2, Championship round	FC København	13	9	2	2	28–12	+16	29
3, Championship round	Viborg	13	7	2	4	20–12	+8	23
4, Championship round	Brøndby IF	13	7	1	5	23–20	+3	22
9, Relegation round	Silkeborg	13	2	6	5	17–24	-7	12
10, Relegation round	Randers FC	13	3	2	8	13–21	-8	11
11, Relegation round	Lyngby	13	2	5	6	19–28	-9	11

Season 2026/27

Full table

Danish Superliga on the same day

16:00
AC HorsensSilkeborgpreliminary
472726
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
18:00
SønderjyskeOBpreliminary
362935
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
20:00
NordsjællandFC Københavnpreliminary
382833
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →