Danish Superliga, round 15 · Sunday, 22 November, 18:00 (UTC+3)

Sønderjyske — OB

Model prediction for 22 November

Sønderjyske36%

Draw29%

OB35%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Sønderjyske 36%, OB 35%, draw 29%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 66%.

Why

By the strength ratings OB are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Facts

League table: Sønderjyske — No. 12, 8 pts; OB — No. 6, 17 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
OB: unbeaten in 5.
Last 5 meetings: Sønderjyske 1 win, OB 1, 3 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Sønderjyske — OB What is xG?		1.6–1.6
Sønderjyske not to lose		65%
OB not to lose		64%
No draw		71%
Both teams to score: yes		66%
Both teams to score: no		34%
Total over 2.5		61%
Total under 2.5		39%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Sønderjyske
Sønderjyske goals
OB goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Sønderjyske	OB
Goals scored per match	1.5	1.4
Goals conceded per match	2.7	1.5
xG per match	1.15	1.27
Opponents’ xG	1.87	1.77
Shots	12.2	14.3
On target	4.4	4.4
Corners	4.3	5.8
Cards	2.2	2.1
Possession, %	43	49

Averages per match: Sønderjyske — the last 10, OB — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Sønderjyske

02.11FC København0:2
25.10away · AC Horsens1:5
18.10Silkeborg4:0
12.10away · AGF0:3
20.09Randers FC4:2

01.11Silkeborg4:1
26.10away · FC København1:1
18.10Brøndby IF2:1
09.10away · Nordsjælland0:0
19.09FC Midtjylland1:1

Head to head

03.08.2026OB — Sønderjyske1:0
01.03.2026Sønderjyske — OB1:0
03.10.2025OB — Sønderjyske1:1
15.05.2022OB — Sønderjyske1:1
10.04.2022Sønderjyske — OB2:2

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
5, Championship round	Nordsjælland	13	5	5	3	20–17	+3	20
6, Championship round	OB	13	4	5	4	15–17	-2	17
7, Relegation round	AC Horsens	13	4	4	5	23–21	+2	16
11, Relegation round	Lyngby	13	2	5	6	19–28	-9	11
12, Relegation round	Sønderjyske	13	2	2	9	17–31	-14	8

Season 2026/27

Full table

Danish Superliga on the same day

16:00
ViborgRanders FCpreliminary
562717
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
16:00
AC HorsensSilkeborgpreliminary
472726
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
20:00
NordsjællandFC Københavnpreliminary
382833
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →