Saudi Pro League, round 8 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Al Ettifaq Club Stadium
Al-Ettifaq — Al Khaleej
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1:1Missed
In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Al-Ettifaq to win (44%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 44% fails in about 56 matches out of 100 on average.
Al-Ettifaq are slightly stronger: 44% against 26%, draw 30%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al-Ettifaq — Al Khaleej What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| Al-Ettifaq not to lose | 74% | |
| Al Khaleej not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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- Handicap Al-Ettifaq
- Al-Ettifaq goals
- Al Khaleej goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.09away · Al Qadsiah3:3
- 08.09Al-Faisaly0:0
- 04.09away · Abha1:0
- 29.08Al Diriyah0:3
- 25.08Al Nassr FC2:3
- 12.09Al Nassr FC1:1
- 07.09Al Riyadh0:0
- 03.09away · Neom SC0:3
- 28.08Al Hilal1:5
- 25.08away · Abha1:1
Head to head
- 09.05.2026Al Khaleej — Al-Ettifaq0:5
- 12.01.2026Al-Ettifaq — Al Khaleej1:2
- 02.05.2025Al-Ettifaq — Al Khaleej2:1
- 07.12.2024Al Khaleej — Al-Ettifaq1:2
- 15.02.2024Al Khaleej — Al-Ettifaq0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al Ahli | 8 | 5 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Al-Fayha | 8 | 1 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Al Khaleej | 8 | 0 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly | 7 | 0 | -8 | 3 |
Next matches
- Al KhaleejAl-Fayha15 October · Saudi Pro League4330261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- Neom SCAl-Ettifaq17 October · Saudi Pro League5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- 2730432The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:1.2.7
- 761591The most likely outcome came true: 13:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 3:1.3.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →