Saudi Pro League, round 10 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Al Fateh FC — Al Khaleej
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Al Fateh FC are slightly stronger: 40% against 30%, draw 30%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Al Fateh FC — No. 16, 3 pts; Al Khaleej — No. 14, 6 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Al Fateh FC: 3 defeats in a row; Al Khaleej: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Al Fateh FC 3 wins, Al Khaleej 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Fateh FC — Al Khaleej What is xG? | 1.6–1.4 | |
| Al Fateh FC not to lose | 70% | |
| Al Khaleej not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al Fateh FC
- Al Fateh FC goals
- Al Khaleej goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Al Ahli0:4
- 13.09away · Neom SC2:4
- 09.09Al Diriyah1:2
- 05.09away · Al-Taawoun0:0
- 29.08Al Ittihad0:0
- 10.10away · Al-Ettifaq1:1
- 12.09Al Nassr FC1:1
- 07.09Al Riyadh0:0
- 03.09away · Neom SC0:3
- 28.08Al Hilal1:5
Head to head
- 24.04.2026Al Fateh FC — Al Khaleej1:0
- 29.12.2025Al Khaleej — Al Fateh FC0:1
- 12.04.2025Al Khaleej — Al Fateh FC1:5
- 09.11.2024Al Fateh FC — Al Khaleej1:2
- 09.03.2024Al Fateh FC — Al Khaleej1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Al-Fayha | 8 | 1 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Al Khaleej | 8 | 0 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly | 7 | 0 | -8 | 3 |
| 16, Relegation | Al Fateh FC | 8 | 0 | -11 | 3 |
| 17, Relegation | Al-Taawoun | 8 | 0 | -12 | 3 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →