Saudi Pro League, round 11 · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Al Hazem — Al-Fayha
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Al Hazem are slightly stronger: 42% against 28%, draw 30%.
The model expects few goals: 2.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Hazem — Al-Fayha What is xG? | 1.4–1.1 | |
| Al Hazem not to lose | 72% | |
| Al-Fayha not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al Hazem
- Al Hazem goals
- Al-Fayha goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Neom SC1:1
- 11.09away · Al Ahli1:3
- 08.09Al-Taawoun1:0
- 05.09away · Al-Faisaly0:0
- 30.08Al Shabab1:1
- 11.10Al Riyadh1:1
- 12.09away · Al Shabab0:0
- 08.09away · Al Ittihad1:2
- 03.09Al Kholood2:2
- 28.08Abha3:2
Head to head
- 11.04.2026Al Hazem — Al-Fayha2:0
- 25.12.2025Al-Fayha — Al Hazem0:0
- 17.02.2024Al Hazem — Al-Fayha1:3
- 25.08.2023Al-Fayha — Al Hazem0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 8 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Al-Fayha | 8 | 1 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Al Khaleej | 8 | 0 | -7 | 6 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- Al Fateh FCAl Shababpreliminary3329372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- Al AhliAl Khaleejpreliminary791571The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →