Egyptian Premier League, round 9 · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)
Al Masry SC — Asyut Petroleum
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Al Masry SC are clear favourites: 64% against 11% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Masry SC are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Al Masry SC are 158 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Al Masry SC — No. 12, 9 pts; Asyut Petroleum — No. 18, 6 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Al Masry SC: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Masry SC — Asyut Petroleum What is xG? | 1.6–0.6 | |
| Al Masry SC not to lose | 89% | |
| Asyut Petroleum not to lose | 36% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al Masry SC
- Al Masry SC goals
- Asyut Petroleum goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Al Masry SC | Asyut Petroleum |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| xG per match | 1.20 | 0.63 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.94 | 1.04 |
| Shots | 12.1 | 8.0 |
| On target | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 3.6 |
| Cards | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| Possession, % | 55 | 44 |
Form
- 28.10away · National Bank1:1
- 19.10Abo Qir Semad1:1
- 11.10away · Olympic El Qanah FC1:1
- 15.09Al Ittihad Alexandria0:2
- 07.09away · Petrojet-Suez1:2
- 30.10El Gouna FC1:1
- 20.10Zamalek SC0:1
- 13.10away · Abo Qir Semad2:1
- 15.09Modern Sport FC0:2
- 07.09away · Al Ittihad Alexandria0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Petrojet-Suez | 8 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Masry SC | 8 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Olympic El Qanah FC | 8 | 1 | -2 | 8 |
| 17 | Ghazl Al Mahalla | 8 | 2 | -7 | 7 |
| 18 | Asyut Petroleum | 8 | 1 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | Abo Qir Semad | 8 | 1 | -9 | 4 |
Egyptian Premier League on the same day
- Smouha SCNational Bankpreliminary363529XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.9
- ZED FCAbo Qir Semadpreliminary4831211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
- Wadi Degla FCAl Ittihad Alexandriapreliminary4032281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →